Thursday 3 – July 31, 2008

By lonespeed

Saratoga – Race 2

#4 KEEP’EM MOVIN DAN

Todd Pletcher’s barn has gone a bit cold recently, but that could very easily change with the introduction of a few more first-time starters, for which, Pletcher is very good with.

Keep’em Movin Dan has a lot of positives. 

His entire training regiment has occurred over the Saratoga dirt course, which he’ll be racing over Thursday.

In his last work, he went five furlongs from the gate in 1:00 1/5; the seventh fastest of 93 others at the distance.  He’s had several other good workouts as well, including a sub :48 work at four furlongs.

Among first-time starters, I’m most interested in horses I believe can make the lead out of the gate, and Keep’em Movin Dan seems to be poised to break well and do exactly that.

It helps that DISTORTED HUMOR offspring win 16% of the time in their first start and Keep’em Movin Dan’s dam, QUEEN OF MONEY, has six winners from six starters, including 2 stakewinners.

$10.00 To Win – #4 KEEP’EM MOVIN DAN
$10.00 To Place – #4 KEEP’EM MOVIN DAN
$10.00 To Show – #4 KEEP’EM MOVIN DAN

Saratoga – Race 4

#2 ISN’T THAT SPECIAL

In only two starts, Isn’t That Special has the top speed figure in the field and her front-running style should help her win this six-furlong sprint.

Except for LOVELY WILDCAT, the late pace numbers for the rest of her rivals are very poor, and it won’t take much to put the field away if Isn’t That Special is able to make the lead.  The inside post and her early pace numbers should help her bid.

It’s possible she will be clipped at the wire, but I certainly don’t see her finishing out of the top-3, so she seems like a safe play, and should pay on the full wager.

$10.00 To Win – #2 ISN’T THAT SPECIAL
$10.00 To Place – #2 ISN’T THAT SPECIAL
$10.00 To Show – #2 ISN’T THAT SPECIAL

Del Mar - Race 7

#2 CRY AND CATCH ME

Cry And Catch Me will make her three-year-old debut on Thursday, 10-months after winning the grade 1 Oakleaf in September 2007.

In five races at the distance, the speed has not been winning on the Del Mar all-weather track, but I’d expect that to change in this spot.  Cry And Catch Me should make the lead, and she has already won on the lead once over fake dirt, and also has a victory over the Del Mar track as a 2-year-old.

The drop in class is a bit of a concern, but trainer Bob Baffert has kept her on a regular training regiment throughout the spring and summer, so I’m not too concerned.  For the same reason, I’m not concerned about the layoff.

She should outclass this field, and her odds may be short, but she looks like a winner to me.

$10.00 To Win – #5 CRY AND CATCH ME
$10.00 To Place – #5 CRY AND CATCH ME
$10.00 To Show – #5 CRY AND CATCH ME

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