Belmont – Race 2
#6 NORTHERN RODES
Northern Rodes has shown a propensity for wanting to run up-front, and despite some strong early pace numbers, she has had difficulty getting there, running in second many times. This is probably due to the sprint fields Northern Rodes has been exposed to, but I think she is the lone speed here.
She turned in a good work this past week and was asked to go hard, so I think she is being prepared to go to the front in this one.
E-style and E/P-style runners are winning these races at a 76% clip. Northern Rodes is a good bet in this spot and I think she’ll win race 2 Thursday. She’s morning-line 9/2, and is definitely my best bet of the day.
$10.00 to Win – #6 Northern Rodes
$10.00 to Place – #6 Northern Rodes
$10.00 to Show – #6 Northern Rodes
Belmont - Race 4
#9 – WESTERN LEGEND
The betting opportunities on Thursday are thin, so I’m going to go chasing big odds in the fourth race at Belmont, which features an entire field of first-time starters.
Western Legend’s Dam has two winners from two starters, including a stake winner. He is bred through Mr. Greeley and Affirmed, so the blood lines are there for him to be a good one.
He’s had two good works over Aqueduct’s plastic dirt track and at 20/1, why not? Give a gelding a chance.
$10.00 to Win – #9 Western Legend
$10.00 to Place – #9 Western Legend
$10.00 to Show – #9 Western Legend
Del Mar – Race 7
#7 – DISTANT VICTORY
Distant Victory is entering the third race of her career Thursday, and will try to pick up her second win.
Coming off a solid work last week and a win last time out at the same distance she’ll be trying Thursday, she has a excellent chance of improving.
Carla Gaines is winning more than 25% of the time under similar circumstances and finishing in the money nearly half.
$10.00 to Win – #7 Distant Victory
$10.00 to Place – #7 Distant Victory
$10.00 to Show – #7 Distant Victory
Season / Last Week Summary:
PIPER’s FORT missed the board. SPRING ELUSION finished second for a $52.50 payoff. EL SULTRY SUN was scratched in favor of the Virginia Derby this coming weekend.
Last Week: -$7.50
Season Total: -$7.50
Tags: Belmont, Del Mar, Horse Racing Handicapping, Horse Racing Selections, Thursday 3
